What is FedEx’s market share? (2025 analysis)

FedEx holds approximately 33% of U.S. courier and local delivery revenue as of 2024, handling roughly 19% of total parcel volume, according to the latest ShipMatrix and industry data. Globally, FedEx commands an estimated 7% share of courier revenue, positioning it as the world’s third-largest parcel carrier by revenue behind UPS and DHL. However, FedEx’s market position faces pressure from Amazon Logistics’ rapid expansion and private retail delivery networks.

Numbers at a glance

  • 33% U.S. courier & local delivery revenue share (2024)
  • 19% U.S. parcel volume market share (2024)
  • $88B FedEx total revenue (fiscal 2024)
  • 9.7M average daily parcel volume (2024)
  • 7% estimated global courier revenue share
  • 3.4B total packages delivered annually (2024)
  • -2% year-over-year revenue decline (2023-2024)

U.S. Courier Market Share by Revenue (2024)

UPS
37%
FedEx
33%
USPS
16%
Amazon
12%
Others
2%

FedEx holds the #2 position in U.S. courier revenue, trailing UPS by just 4 percentage points

How market share is calculated in the courier/express/parcel industry

Market share in the courier, express, and parcel (CEP) sector gets measured through multiple lenses, each telling a different story about competitive positioning.

Revenue vs parcel volume vs shipment count

Revenue share reflects the dollar value of services provided—typically higher for premium express and international shipments. Volume share counts individual packages regardless of service level or price. Shipment count may include multi-piece orders as single transactions.

Data sources and methodology

Primary market-share figures come from ShipMatrix’s annual parcel market analysis, Pitney Bowes Global Parcel Shipping Index, and company SEC filings. ShipMatrix tracks parcel flows through major carriers using proprietary algorithms and shipper surveys. Pitney Bowes combines carrier-reported data with third-party research.

Limitations in market measurement

Private fleets operated by Amazon, Walmart, and Target increasingly handle their own deliveries, creating measurement challenges. These “captive” networks don’t report public volume figures, requiring analysts to estimate their impact on traditional carrier market shares.

FedEx market share by geography

United States

FedEx commands the second-largest share of U.S. courier revenue behind UPS, but trails significantly in parcel volume due to its premium service mix.

Revenue share (2024 estimates)

  • UPS: 37% ($59.8B revenue)
  • FedEx: 33% ($48.2B U.S. revenue)
  • USPS: 16% ($32.5B revenue)
  • Amazon Logistics: 12% ($24.7B revenue)
  • Other carriers: 2%

Parcel volume share (2024 estimates)

  • USPS: 31% (7.4B packages)
  • UPS: 24% (5.7B packages)
  • FedEx: 19% (4.5B packages)
  • Amazon Logistics: 15% (3.6B packages)
  • Private fleets & regional: 11% (2.6B packages)

Carrier Revenue vs Volume Share

Revenue Share

UPS
37%
FedEx
33%
USPS
16%
Amazon
12%

Volume Share

USPS
31%
UPS
24%
FedEx
19%
Amazon
15%

Key Insight: FedEx generates 33% of courier revenue with only 19% of parcel volume—evidence of its premium service positioning and higher revenue per package compared to competitors.

North America expansion

In Canada, FedEx holds roughly 15% of express courier revenue, competing primarily with UPS (25%) and Canada Post (35%). Mexico represents a smaller but growing market where FedEx maintains approximately 8% revenue share.

Europe

European operations contribute significantly less to FedEx’s global footprint. The company holds an estimated 4% share of European express revenue, well behind DHL (45%), UPS (12%), and national postal services. FedEx’s European strategy focuses on international express rather than domestic parcel networks.

Asia-Pacific

FedEx maintains strength in Asia-Pacific express air cargo, holding roughly 12% of international express revenue. However, domestic parcel market penetration remains limited, with local carriers like SF Express dominating regional volume.

Global market position

Combining all regions, FedEx’s global courier revenue share sits at approximately 7%, behind UPS (11%) and DHL (15%). This reflects FedEx’s premium positioning and concentration in North American markets.

FedEx vs key competitors – head-to-head comparison

FedEx vs UPS

The two American logistics giants compete directly across most service categories, with UPS maintaining revenue leadership.

Fiscal 2024 financials:

  • UPS revenue: $91.0B (down 3.1% YoY)
  • FedEx revenue: $87.7B (down 2.4% YoY)

Network comparison:

  • UPS operates 4,800 facilities globally vs FedEx’s 3,200+
  • FedEx maintains larger air fleet (650+ aircraft vs UPS’s 280+)
  • UPS handles more ground volume; FedEx leads in express air

FedEx vs Amazon Logistics

Amazon’s delivery network represents FedEx’s fastest-growing competitive threat, expanding from 1.7B packages in 2019 to 6.1B in 2024.

2024 volume comparison:

  • Amazon Logistics: 6.1B packages annually
  • FedEx: 3.4B packages annually

Strategic differences:

  • Amazon focuses on last-mile delivery for its own products
  • FedEx serves external customers across all service tiers
  • Amazon’s growth directly reduces addressable market for traditional carriers

FedEx vs USPS

The U.S. Postal Service leads in parcel volume but generates significantly lower revenue per package.

Market position:

  • USPS: 31% volume share, 16% revenue share
  • FedEx: 19% volume share, 33% revenue share

Service differentiation:

  • USPS dominates lightweight, low-value parcels
  • FedEx captures premium express and B2B shipments

FedEx vs DHL

Internationally, DHL’s European strength contrasts with FedEx’s North American dominance.

Global express market:

  • DHL: ~15% global courier revenue
  • FedEx: ~7% global courier revenue

Geographic split:

  • DHL leads in Europe, Asia-Pacific international
  • FedEx dominates North American express

Historical trend: 2019-2024 FedEx market share

FedEx’s market position has faced headwinds from Amazon’s logistics expansion and overall industry disruption.

Revenue trend (fiscal years)

YearFedEx RevenueU.S. Market Share (Est.)Key Market Event
2019$72B35%Pre-pandemic baseline
2020$69B32%COVID-19 volume surge, margin pressure
2021$84B36%E-commerce boom, pricing power
2022$93B35%Peak revenue, inflation impacts
2023$90B34%Economic slowdown, volume decline
2024$88B33%Amazon competition intensifies

FedEx Revenue & Market Share Trend (2019-2024)

$95B $85B $75B $65B 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 36% 34% 32% 30%
Revenue ($B)
Market Share (%)
2022
Peak Revenue Year
$93B
2021
Peak Market Share
36%
-5.4%
Revenue Decline
2022-2024

Volume share decline

While total U.S. parcel volume grew 50% from 2019-2024 (15.8B to 23.8B packages), FedEx’s share contracted as Amazon Logistics and private fleets captured incremental growth.

FedEx volume trajectory:

  • 2019: ~20% U.S. parcel share
  • 2021: ~21% U.S. parcel share
  • 2024: ~19% U.S. parcel share

Factors influencing FedEx’s market share

E-commerce growth and service mix

The pandemic-driven e-commerce surge initially benefited FedEx, but subsequent normalization and Amazon’s delivery network expansion reduced growth opportunities. FedEx’s premium express services generate higher revenue per package but lower volume share.

Last-mile competition from regional carriers

Regional carriers like OnTrac, LaserShip, and Veho have captured market share in specific corridors, offering lower-cost alternatives for B2C deliveries. These carriers collectively handle an estimated 3% of U.S. parcel volume.

Amazon’s in-house fleet expansion

Amazon Logistics’ explosive growth—from 1.7B packages (2019) to 6.1B packages (2024)—directly reduces the total addressable market for FedEx and traditional carriers. Amazon now handles 26% of its own deliveries.

Operational changes: Network 2.0

FedEx’s ongoing “Network 2.0” initiative consolidates Ground and Express operations to reduce costs and improve efficiency. Early results show cost savings but potential service disruptions during the transition period.

Macro economy and B2B/B2C mix

Economic uncertainty affects B2B shipping volumes, where FedEx traditionally holds stronger market position. Consumer shipping growth has slowed from pandemic peaks, pressuring volume-based market share.

2025-2028 outlook and forecasts

Industry growth projections

Pitney Bowes projects global parcel volume will reach 225 billion packages by 2028, representing 6% compound annual growth. U.S. market growth is expected to moderate to 4% annually through 2027.

FedEx strategic positioning

FedEx’s “Drive, Compete, Grow” strategy emphasizes:

  • Network consolidation through DRIVE program
  • Competitive pricing and service reliability
  • Growth in international express and e-commerce solutions

Market share scenarios (2028 projections)

Bull case (35% U.S. revenue share):

  • Successful Network 2.0 execution
  • Premium service differentiation
  • International expansion success

Base case (32% U.S. revenue share):

  • Continued Amazon competition
  • Moderate economic growth
  • Market share stability

Bear case (29% U.S. revenue share):

  • Aggressive regional carrier expansion
  • Amazon Logistics serves external customers
  • Economic recession reduces B2B volumes

FedEx Market Share Scenarios: 2028 Projections

35%
Bull Case
U.S. Revenue Share
✓ Network 2.0 Success
Seamless Ground/Express integration drives cost savings
✓ Premium Differentiation
Express services command higher margins vs competitors
✓ International Growth
European and Asia-Pacific expansion accelerates
+2 percentage points
vs 2024 baseline
32%
Base Case
U.S. Revenue Share
→ Amazon Competition
Continued pressure from Amazon Logistics expansion
→ Moderate Growth
Steady economic conditions, gradual market evolution
→ Share Stability
Maintains position through operational efficiency
-1 percentage point
vs 2024 baseline
29%
Bear Case
U.S. Revenue Share
✗ Regional Expansion
OnTrac, LaserShip capture more B2C volume
✗ Amazon Opens Network
Amazon Logistics serves external customers
✗ Economic Recession
B2B shipping volumes decline significantly
-4 percentage points
vs 2024 baseline

Key Variables: FedEx’s 2028 market position will largely depend on Network 2.0 execution success, Amazon’s strategic decisions around third-party logistics services, and the broader economic environment affecting B2B shipping demand.

Frequently asked questions

Who has bigger market share, UPS or FedEx?
UPS leads with 37% of U.S. courier revenue versus FedEx’s 33%. UPS also handles more total parcel volume annually.

What percentage of U.S. parcel deliveries does FedEx handle?
FedEx handles approximately 19% of U.S. parcel volume, delivering 3.4 billion packages annually in 2024.

Is FedEx gaining or losing market share in 2024?
FedEx lost modest market share in 2024, declining from 34% to 33% of U.S. courier revenue as Amazon Logistics and regional carriers expanded.

How is FedEx’s global market share different from its U.S. share?
Globally, FedEx holds approximately 7% of courier revenue versus 33% in the U.S., reflecting its North American market concentration.

What is FedEx’s share of the express air cargo market?
FedEx commands roughly 25% of U.S. express air cargo revenue, leveraging its extensive aircraft fleet and overnight delivery network.

How has Amazon Logistics impacted FedEx’s market share?
Amazon’s delivery network growth from 1.7B to 6.1B packages (2019-2024) has directly reduced the addressable market for FedEx and other traditional carriers.

What factors influence market share calculations in shipping?
Market share varies significantly between revenue-based and volume-based measurements, with premium carriers like FedEx showing higher revenue shares than volume shares.

Which year did FedEx reach its highest market share?
FedEx achieved peak U.S. revenue share around 2021 (36%) during the e-commerce boom, before Amazon’s logistics expansion accelerated.

Sources & methodology